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<v ->If you have a sneaky suspicion that liberals</v>

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are prone to violence, you're more likely to pay

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attention to raucous leftist demonstrations at Berkeley

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while down playing acts of violence

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at Donald Trump's own campaign rallies.

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<v ->They'd be carried out on a stretcher folks.</v>

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<v ->And liberals tend to do the opposite.</v>

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That's confirmation bias.

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The tendency we all have to interpret information

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in a way that supports what we already believe.

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And it's what we're talking about

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in this episode of Argument Clinic,

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a guide to spotting bad arguments on the internet.

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We are all inherently biased.

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We tend to weigh evidence more heavily if it

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confirms our belief and discount evidence that doesn't.

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And the internet, especially social media,

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is a giant confirmation biased machine.

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It makes it easy to find evidence to support

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just about any argument you want to make

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and ignore all the other stuff.

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For instance, let's say you wanna prove

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that Trump supporters are violent.

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So you Google 'violent Trump supporters.'

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You'll find a long list of ugly incidents.

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Of course, there may be millions of

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peaceful Trump supporters out there

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but you didn't Google that.

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Social media like Facebook presents the same problem.

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We tend to like information that we agree with,

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which means we see more of it,

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which means we think there's more of it,

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which means we must be right.

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Right?

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That's why we have stuff like the scientific method,

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which uses control groups and placebos

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and peer review to ensure that our

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preexisting ideas don't effect our findings.

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It's also why lawyers try to screen out

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biased jury members who's experiences

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and beliefs might prevent them

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from weighing evidence and arguments objectively.

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Now unfortunately, most of the information online

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doesn't meet those standards.

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Just the opposite in fact.

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Most of it is engineered to create an emotional response,

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not a rational one, because emotions are

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what get us to click and share.

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And there's no better way to stir people's emotions

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than by convincing them that they are right about everything

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and that anyone who disagrees is a moron.

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We'll never be able to eradicate confirmation bias,

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but we can at least try to limit it in our own lives.

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So just remember, anecdotes are not data.

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Be open to arguments that challenge your beliefs

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and be modest and skeptical of everything you read,

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even if, no, especially if, it seems to prove

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what you already thought in the first place.

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[jolly music]

